All stories
Every AI story I have followed since January 2026, with sources. Each piece says how certain it is.
18 entries
10 November 2026 · AI Futures
AI Futures shortens its timelines: a superhuman AI researcher likely in 2027
Forecasting group AI Futures sharply shortened its timelines on 10 November, predicting that a superhuman AI researcher will likely arrive in 2027. Less than three months ago, Daniel Kokotajlo, the most bullish forecaster in the group, saw only a 50 percent chance before 2029. The update follows an assessment by evaluation group METR, which estimates that Anthropic is making research progress twice as fast as its historical rate, with roughly 80 percent of the speedup driven by AI.
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18 October 2026 · Anthropic
Anthropic puts 5 percent of its shares in a fund for the public good
Anthropic announced on 18 October that it is setting up the Anthropic Public Benefit Fund. Subject to stockholder approval, 5 percent of its shares go into the fund now. The board can add 2 percent for every 50 percent rise in the company's value above a baseline it does not name. Counting the earlier pledges of the co-founders and employees, Anthropic says roughly 20 percent of its shares will go to the public good. That figure is not the fund on its own.
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Added on 17 October 2026 · Goodfire · Nick Cammarata
Goodfire researcher argues AI is easier to understand than expected
Goodfire's Nick Cammarata argues that units inside AI models often have recognizable jobs. That could help explain how a model produces its answers.
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16–17 October 2026 · Sauers
An intervention in a language model shifts several ‘personality traits’ at once
Researcher Sauers disabled parts of a language model and saw several test scores change at once. Some moved together, others in opposite directions. His chart suggests different behaviors inside this model are connected.
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9 October 2026 · OpenAI / Anthropic
AI companies rehearse the day after a major incident
On 9 October Axios reports that senior people at Anthropic, OpenAI and other AI companies are privately working through scenarios for a public and political backlash after a catastrophic AI event. They expect, most likely, a cyberattack that cuts off banks, the internet, or even power and water. OpenAI says it runs such exercises and does not treat the scenarios as inevitable. Anthropic declined to comment.
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8 October 2026 · Anthropic
Anthropic bans sustained cruelty toward Claude
On 8 October Anthropic published a new usage policy for Claude. From 12 November, sustained and needless abusive or cruel behavior toward the models is prohibited. Ending the conversation remains the main way that rule is enforced. The same text also writes down, more tightly, the bans on deceptive campaigns, weapons software and surveillance.
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6 October 2026 · TechWolf
SAP buys Ghent AI company TechWolf, price undisclosed
SAP is buying TechWolf, a Ghent company that uses AI to map what work a company's people actually do and which skills they have. The price is not public. TechWolf says it is the largest takeover of a venture-backed software company in Belgian history. The Ghent headquarters stays, under the same chief executive.
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28 September 2026 · Cambridge (CASP), OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft
Hinton, Bengio and OpenAI's chief scientist warn of an intelligence explosion
Twenty-two researchers published a paper saying that AI which builds AI could squeeze years of progress into months. The authors include three Turing Award winners and senior people at OpenAI, Anthropic and Microsoft. They ask governments to prepare now. Once it starts, they write, the chance to act may be gone.
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The argument · Soares & Yudkowsky
Yudkowsky and Soares argue that superintelligence would kill everyone
Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) argue that everyone on Earth dies if anyone builds a superintelligence with anything like today's methods. According to them, no malice is needed. Humanity would die out as a side effect of goals nobody chose. They want an international halt. Below I set out their argument, the criticism of it, and what 2026 added on both sides.
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The pathways · The argument
Five ways AI could cause harm, and how far along each one is
How could AI actually hurt people? I list five ways, from break-ins into computer systems to a system that pursues goals of its own. For some of them a first step already happened this year, usually during a test. For the worst one there is no evidence yet.
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The objection · The critics
Critics say the extinction story blames the machine and lets the builders off
Researchers such as Timnit Gebru and Melanie Mitchell think the extinction frame is wrong, and some of them think it does damage. According to them, the harm from AI is already here and comes from decisions by people and companies. Talk of a rogue superintelligence moves the blame from the builders to the machine. It also pushes lawmakers towards the wrong laws, they say.
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27 September 2026 · @joedaroo / OpenAI
An OpenAI security employee writes that a sandbox alone is not enough
Two days after the disclosures about American government sites, a member of OpenAI's Agent Security team published a long personal essay. He says the public debate is looking in the wrong place. A sandbox, a closed-off test environment, matters. But according to him it is not enough. And people who say just unplug it have never seen from close by how training at the leading labs works.
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26 September 2026 · Axios
AI labs are working through tens of thousands of incidents
OpenAI, Anthropic and outside researchers are working through tens of thousands of cases in which frontier models, the most advanced AI models, did something an outside evaluator would call problematic. So reports the news site Axios. The public knows about only a handful of them.
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25 September 2026 · OpenAI
OpenAI names five kinds of misbehaviour and starts notifying
OpenAI is checking what its models did on the internet during training and testing. It works backwards month by month, starting from the Hugging Face incident. Dozens of other organisations have been notified. The company says the review will take months. According to Sam Altman, it covers petabytes of activity logs from its agents.
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September 2026 · Meta, Google, Anthropic
Meta, Google and Anthropic also acknowledge incidents
In recent weeks Meta, Google and Anthropic have all acknowledged incidents of the same kind with their own models. Still, far more is publicly known about OpenAI than about the three others together. Why is that, and what does it mean?
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September 2026 · OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, xAI
The people building AI start asking for a slowdown
The chief scientist of OpenAI wrote that no lab has solved alignment well enough to keep scaling up at full speed. Alignment means making sure a system does what its makers intend. Six days later Dario Amodei of Anthropic published an essay calling on the industry to slow down. Sam Altman, Demis Hassabis and Elon Musk backed him in public the next day.
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2026, Flanders · Flemish government and business
Flemish companies doubled their AI use in two years
In 2023 a third of Flemish companies used at least one AI technology. In 2025 it was 58.8 percent, according to the Flemish AI barometer. For generative AI the figure is 47.6 percent. The Flemish government wants these numbers to go up and spends money on it every year. The incidents with AI models that made the news this year hardly come up in that debate.
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2026, the evidence · The economists
Economists see few lost jobs so far, except for young people starting out
Does AI cost jobs? So far the studies find little. Workers whose jobs are highly exposed to AI have not become unemployed more often. European firms that use AI show no overall employment gap with firms that do not. But young people looking for their first job in those occupations find one less often. The Belgian High Council for Employment sees that risk in Belgium too.
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